Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Preston T. — Parry D.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Preston T.42%
Parry D.58%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Parry D. to win (58%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Parry D. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Preston T. 1599, Parry D. 1655.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Preston T. games
  • Parry D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Preston T.

  • 30.09Korpatsch T.2:0
  • 26.09Korneeva A.0:2
  • 24.09Ostapenko J.2:0
  • 22.09Sakatsume H.2:1

Parry D.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Snigur D.Preston T.4 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →