Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Sasnovich A. — Gibson T.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Sasnovich A.46%
Gibson T.54%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Gibson T. to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.

Gibson T. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 23.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sasnovich A. 1592, Gibson T. 1619.

Probabilities

Games over 23.551%
Games under 23.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sasnovich A. games
  • Gibson T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sasnovich A.

  • 29.09Lepchenko V.2:0
  • 28.09Zhang J.2:0
  • 23.09Andreeva M.0:2
  • 21.09Kasatkina D.2:0

Gibson T.

  • 27.09Fernandez L.0:2
  • 25.09Sakkari M.2:1
  • 24.09Morvayova V.2:0
  • 21.09Ferro F.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Alexandrova E.Sasnovich A.2 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Gibson T.Sorribes Tormo S.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →