Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Joint M. — Kraus S.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Joint M.80%
Kraus S.20%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Joint M. to win (80%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 80% fails in about 20 matches out of 100 on average.

Joint M. are clear favourites: 80% against 20% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Joint M. 1588, Kraus S. 1347.

Probabilities

Games over 20.548%
Games under 20.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Joint M. games
  • Kraus S. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Joint M.

  • 27.09Birrell K.0:2
  • 26.09Korneeva A.1:0
  • 26.09Tararudee L.2:0
  • 23.09Back D.2:0
  • 21.09Yao X.2:1

Kraus S.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Potapova A.Kraus S.2 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • Sawangkaew M.Joint M.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →