Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Alexandrova E. — Sasnovich A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Alexandrova E.64%
Sasnovich A.36%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Alexandrova E. to win (64%), came true.

Alexandrova E. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Alexandrova E. 1702, Sasnovich A. 1601.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Alexandrova E. games
  • Sasnovich A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Alexandrova E.

No past matches in the data yet.

Sasnovich A.

  • 30.09Gibson T.2:0
  • 29.09Lepchenko V.2:0
  • 28.09Zhang J.2:0
  • 23.09Andreeva M.0:2
  • 21.09Kasatkina D.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Alexandrova E.Shnaider D.4 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →