Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Shelton B. — Altmaier D.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Shelton B.80%
Altmaier D.20%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Shelton B. to win (80%), came true.

Shelton B. are clear favourites: 80% against 20% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Shelton B. 1813, Altmaier D. 1536.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Shelton B. games
  • Altmaier D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Shelton B.

No past matches in the data yet.

Altmaier D.

  • 07.10Rune H.2:1
  • 28.09Cui J.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Shelton B.Gea A.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →