Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Tomic B. — Skatov T.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Tomic B.49%
Skatov T.51%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Skatov T. to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Tomic B. 49%, Skatov T. 51%.

Over 23.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tomic B. 1535, Skatov T. 1446.

Probabilities

Games over 23.548%
Games under 23.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Tomic B. games
  • Skatov T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Tomic B.

  • 05.10Atmane T.1:1
  • 23.09Sun F.0:2
  • 22.09Te R.2:1

Skatov T.

  • 05.10Sakellaridis S.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Tomic B.Arnaldi M.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →