Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Yuan Y. — Andreeva M.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Yuan Y.16%
Andreeva M.84%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Andreeva M. to win (84%), came true.

Andreeva M. are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Yuan Y. 1564, Andreeva M. 1850.

Probabilities

Games over 19.549%
Games under 19.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Yuan Y. games
  • Andreeva M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Yuan Y.

  • 30.09Oliynykova O.2:0
  • 21.09Back D.1:2

Andreeva M.

  • 25.09Fernandez L.0:2
  • 23.09Sasnovich A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Kudermetova P.Andreeva M.4 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.18.5
  • Yuan Y.McNally C.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →