Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Zheng Q. — Svitolina E.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Zheng Q.36%
Svitolina E.64%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Svitolina E. to win (64%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 64% fails in about 36 matches out of 100 on average.

Svitolina E. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zheng Q. 1822, Svitolina E. 1867.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zheng Q. games
  • Svitolina E. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zheng Q.

  • 07.10Charaeva A.2:1
  • 05.10Bouzkova M.2:1
  • 03.10Kalinskaya A.1:1
  • 01.10Shi H.2:1
  • 24.09Paolini J.0:2

Svitolina E.

  • 07.10Li A.2:0
  • 05.10Sakkari M.2:0
  • 03.10Siniakova K.2:1
  • 27.09Noskova L.0:2
  • 26.09Paolini J.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zheng Q.Mertens E.10 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Svitolina E.Samsonova L.14 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.19.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →