DEL (German hockey league) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
ERC Ingolstadt — Grizzly Wolfsburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
ERC Ingolstadt are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- ERC Ingolstadt are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ERC Ingolstadt — Grizzly Wolfsburg | 3.4–2.5 | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap ERC Ingolstadt
- ERC Ingolstadt goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10Frankfurt Lowen2:3 SO
- 09.10away · Munchen5:1
- 04.10Kolner3:6
- 02.10away · Krefeld Pinguine1:3
- 27.09Adler Mannheim3:2 OT
- 11.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3 OT
- 09.10away · Eisbaren Berlin0:5
- 04.10Adler Mannheim4:1
- 02.10away · Augsburger Panther2:5
- 27.09Bremerhaven3:2
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Grizzly Wolfsburg — ERC Ingolstadt4:1
- 28.12.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Grizzly Wolfsburg2:1 SO
- 21.11.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — ERC Ingolstadt2:4
- 19.09.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
- 21.02.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — ERC Ingolstadt3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Grizzly Wolfsburg | 8 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Krefeld Pinguine | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
DEL on the same day
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →