DEL (German hockey league) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Kolner — Schwenninger

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Model prediction for 20 October

Kolner55%
Draw in regulation20%
Schwenninger25%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Kolner are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Kolner are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kolner — Schwenninger3.4–2.4
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Kolner goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Kolner

  • 11.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:2
  • 09.10Schwenninger1:4
  • 04.10away · ERC Ingolstadt6:3
  • 02.10Munchen2:4
  • 27.09away · Augsburger Panther6:4

Schwenninger

  • 11.10Munchen3:4
  • 09.10away · Kolner4:1
  • 04.10Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 02.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers0:5
  • 27.09away · Krefeld Pinguine2:5

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Kolner — Schwenninger1:4
  • 31.03.2026Kolner — Schwenninger2:1 OT
  • 29.03.2026Schwenninger — Kolner2:4
  • 27.03.2026Kolner — Schwenninger4:2
  • 25.03.2026Schwenninger — Kolner0:1

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →