NHL · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Philadelphia Flyers — Anaheim Ducks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Philadelphia Flyers 52%, Anaheim Ducks 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Anaheim Ducks | 2.7–2.6 | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Philadelphia Flyers
- Philadelphia Flyers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
- 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
- 14.10Calgary Flames2:4
- 11.10away · Calgary Flames4:2
- 10.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
- 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
- 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT
Head to head
- 19.03.2026Anaheim Ducks — Philadelphia Flyers2:3 OT
- 07.01.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Anaheim Ducks5:2
- 12.01.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Anaheim Ducks6:0
- 29.12.2024Anaheim Ducks — Philadelphia Flyers1:3
- 11.11.2023Anaheim Ducks — Philadelphia Flyers3:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Chicago BlackhawksMontreal Canadienspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Colorado AvalancheTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- New Jersey DevilsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →