NHL · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Chicago Blackhawks — Montreal Canadiens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Montreal Canadiens are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Montreal Canadiens are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Montreal Canadiens | 2.4–3.0 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chicago Blackhawks
- Chicago Blackhawks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
- 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
- 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
- 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
Head to head
- 19.12.2025Montreal Canadiens — Chicago Blackhawks4:1
- 12.10.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Montreal Canadiens2:3
- 15.04.2025Montreal Canadiens — Chicago Blackhawks3:4 SO
- 04.01.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Montreal Canadiens4:2
- 23.12.2023Chicago Blackhawks — Montreal Canadiens2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
NHL on the same day
- Colorado AvalancheTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Philadelphia FlyersAnaheim Duckspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- New Jersey DevilsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →