Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Gea A. — Davidovich Fokina A.

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Model prediction for 15 October

Gea A.54%
Davidovich Fokina A.46%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Gea A. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 23.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Gea A. 1696, Davidovich Fokina A. 1726.

Facts

  • Gea A.: 4 wins in a row; Davidovich Fokina A.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 23.548%
Games under 23.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Gea A. games
  • Davidovich Fokina A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Gea A.

  • 13.10Mensik J.2:0
  • 11.10Shelton B.2:0
  • 09.10Humbert U.2:1
  • 07.10Faria J.2:1
  • 02.10Hurkacz H.1:2

Davidovich Fokina A.

  • 13.10Hurkacz H.2:1
  • 11.10Tiafoe F.2:1
  • 09.10Brooksby J.2:0
  • 01.10Berrettini M.1:2
  • 29.09Hurkacz H.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

ATP on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →