Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, qualifying, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Sonmez Z. — Zakharova A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Sonmez Z.51%
Zakharova A.49%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sonmez Z. to win (51%), came true.

Evenly matched: Sonmez Z. 51%, Zakharova A. 49%.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sonmez Z. 1568, Zakharova A. 1539.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sonmez Z. games
  • Zakharova A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sonmez Z.

  • 30.09Inglis M.0:2

Zakharova A.

  • 03.10Bencic B.0:2
  • 01.10Shao Y.2:0
  • 22.09Ostapenko J.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Sonmez Z.Kraus S.11 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →