PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Belchatow — Projekt Warszawabeta

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Model prediction for 24 October

Belchatow25%
Projekt Warszawa75%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Projekt Warszawa are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 184 points in the match. First set: Projekt Warszawa — 65%.

Over 183.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Belchatow 1540, Projekt Warszawa 1698; chance to win a single set: Projekt Warszawa 65%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Belchatow 0 wins, Projekt Warszawa 5.

Probabilities

First set: Belchatow35%
First set: Projekt Warszawa65%
Points over 183.550%
Points under 183.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Belchatow
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Belchatow

  • 20.04away · Olsztyn3:2
  • 17.04Olsztyn3:2
  • 14.04away · Olsztyn2:3
  • 04.04Lublin0:3
  • 28.03away · Lublin0:3

Projekt Warszawa

  • 17.05Ziraat Bankasi2:3
  • 16.05Perugia0:3
  • 06.05away · Rzeszow3:0
  • 03.05Rzeszow2:3
  • 30.04away · Rzeszow3:1

Head to head

  • 15.03.2026Belchatow — Projekt Warszawa0:3
  • 19.12.2025Projekt Warszawa — Belchatow3:1
  • 05.04.2025Belchatow — Projekt Warszawa2:3
  • 28.03.2025Projekt Warszawa — Belchatow3:0
  • 16.03.2025Belchatow — Projekt Warszawa1:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →