Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

Firenze (W) — Conegliano (W)beta

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Model prediction for 1 November

Firenze (W)2%
Conegliano (W)98%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Conegliano (W) are clear favourites: 98% against 2% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 134 points in the match. First set: Conegliano (W) — 89%.

Over 134.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Firenze (W) 1444, Conegliano (W) 1909; chance to win a single set: Conegliano (W) 89%.

Facts

  • Conegliano (W): 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Firenze (W) 0 wins, Conegliano (W) 5.

Probabilities

First set: Firenze (W)11%
First set: Conegliano (W)89%
Points over 134.549%
Points under 134.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Firenze (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Firenze (W)

  • 11.10Consolini (W)3:0
  • 03.10away · Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 12.04away · Chieri '76 (W)0:3
  • 30.03away · UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)0:3
  • 22.03Chieri '76 (W)1:3

Conegliano (W)

  • 14.10away · Chieri '76 (W)3:0
  • 10.10UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 04.10Cuneo (W)3:0
  • 03.05Scandicci (W)3:0
  • 02.05away · Vakifbank (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 10.02.2026Firenze (W) — Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 22.11.2025Conegliano (W) — Firenze (W)3:0
  • 25.02.2025Firenze (W) — Conegliano (W)1:3
  • 07.12.2024Conegliano (W) — Firenze (W)3:0
  • 11.02.2024Firenze (W) — Conegliano (W)1:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 98% will not happen in roughly 2 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →