Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Mogilno (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)beta

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Model prediction for 31 October

Mogilno (W)61%
MKS Kalisz (W)39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mogilno (W) are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 183 points in the match. First set: Mogilno (W) — 57%.

Over 183.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Mogilno (W) 1408, MKS Kalisz (W) 1383; chance to win a single set: Mogilno (W) 57%.

Facts

  • Mogilno (W): 4 defeats in a row; MKS Kalisz (W): 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: Mogilno (W) 0 wins, MKS Kalisz (W) 2.

Probabilities

First set: Mogilno (W)57%
First set: MKS Kalisz (W)43%
Points over 183.550%
Points under 183.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Mogilno (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Mogilno (W)

  • 12.10away · Rzeszow (W)1:3
  • 03.10Radom (W)0:3
  • 11.04Radom (W)13:15
  • 11.04Radom (W)1:3
  • 30.03away · Radom (W)3:0

MKS Kalisz (W)

  • 12.10away · Chemik Police (W)1:3
  • 02.10Budowlani Lodz (W)0:3
  • 16.03away · Mielec (W)1:3
  • 12.03LKS Lodz (W)2:3
  • 10.03away · Wroclaw (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 26.01.2025MKS Kalisz (W) — Mogilno (W)3:2
  • 26.10.2024Mogilno (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)1:3

Tauron Liga (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →