PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Tuesday, 20 October, (UTC+3)

Olsztyn — Norwid Czestochowabeta

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Model prediction for 20 October

Olsztyn70%
Norwid Czestochowa30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Olsztyn are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 186 points in the match. First set: Olsztyn — 62%.

Over 185.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Olsztyn 1484, Norwid Czestochowa 1416; chance to win a single set: Olsztyn 62%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Olsztyn 3 wins, Norwid Czestochowa 2.

Probabilities

First set: Olsztyn62%
First set: Norwid Czestochowa38%
Points over 185.550%
Points under 185.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Olsztyn
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Olsztyn

  • 20.04Belchatow2:3
  • 17.04away · Belchatow2:3
  • 14.04Belchatow3:2
  • 04.04Rzeszow0:3
  • 28.03away · Rzeszow0:3

Norwid Czestochowa

  • 21.03away · Lublin0:3
  • 14.03away · Gdansk2:3
  • 11.03Belchatow0:3
  • 06.03away · Kedzierzyn-Kozle1:3
  • 28.02Rzeszow1:3

Head to head

  • 01.02.2026Olsztyn — Norwid Czestochowa3:2
  • 15.11.2025Norwid Czestochowa — Olsztyn0:3
  • 03.03.2025Olsztyn — Norwid Czestochowa1:3
  • 15.11.2024Norwid Czestochowa — Olsztyn3:2
  • 07.02.2024Norwid Czestochowa — Olsztyn0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →