Perugia — Padovabeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Perugia are clear favourites: 99% against 1% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 136 points in the match. First set: Perugia — 91%.
Over 135.5 points — 51%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Perugia 1853, Padova 1401; chance to win a single set: Perugia 91%.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Perugia 5 wins, Padova 0.
Probabilities
| First set: Perugia | 91% |
| First set: Padova | 9% |
| Points over 135.5 | 51% |
| Points under 135.5 | 49% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Perugia
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 17.05Zawiercie3:0
- 16.05away · Projekt Warszawa3:0
- 06.05Lube Civitanova3:1
- 03.05away · Lube Civitanova3:1
- 30.04Lube Civitanova3:0
- 08.04Monza0:3
- 04.04away · Monza0:3
- 25.02Piacenza3:2
- 22.02away · Cuneo Volley3:2
- 14.02away · Monza0:3
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Padova — Perugia1:3
- 29.10.2025Perugia — Padova3:0
- 22.12.2024Perugia — Padova3:1
- 06.10.2024Padova — Perugia2:3
- 18.02.2024Padova — Perugia0:3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →