PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Projekt Warszawa — Zawierciebeta

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Model prediction for 28 October

Projekt Warszawa40%
Zawiercie60%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zawiercie are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Zawiercie — 56%.

Over 188.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Projekt Warszawa 1698, Zawiercie 1776; chance to win a single set: Zawiercie 56%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Projekt Warszawa 3 wins, Zawiercie 2.

Probabilities

First set: Projekt Warszawa44%
First set: Zawiercie56%
Points over 188.549%
Points under 188.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Projekt Warszawa
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Projekt Warszawa

  • 17.05Ziraat Bankasi2:3
  • 16.05Perugia0:3
  • 06.05away · Rzeszow3:0
  • 03.05Rzeszow2:3
  • 30.04away · Rzeszow3:1

Zawiercie

  • 17.05away · Perugia0:3
  • 16.05Ziraat Bankasi3:1
  • 10.05Lublin3:1
  • 06.05away · Lublin3:1
  • 02.05Lublin0:3

Head to head

  • 03.01.2026Projekt Warszawa — Zawiercie3:0
  • 25.10.2025Zawiercie — Projekt Warszawa0:3
  • 26.04.2025Projekt Warszawa — Zawiercie2:3
  • 23.04.2025Zawiercie — Projekt Warszawa3:2
  • 19.04.2025Projekt Warszawa — Zawiercie3:2

Full record: 11 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →