Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Scandicci (W) — Novara (W)beta

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Model prediction for 28 October

Scandicci (W)68%
Novara (W)32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Scandicci (W) are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: Scandicci (W) — 61%.

Over 181.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Scandicci (W) 1702, Novara (W) 1642; chance to win a single set: Scandicci (W) 61%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Scandicci (W) 4 wins, Novara (W) 1.

Probabilities

First set: Scandicci (W)61%
First set: Novara (W)39%
Points over 181.551%
Points under 181.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Scandicci (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Scandicci (W)

  • 14.10away · Macerata (W)3:1
  • 10.10away · Vallefoglia (W)2:3
  • 04.10Chieri '76 (W)2:3
  • 03.05away · Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 02.05away · Eczacibasi (W)2:3

Novara (W)

  • 11.10Bergamo (W)2:3
  • 04.10away · UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:2
  • 24.03away · Conegliano (W)1:3
  • 21.03Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 15.03away · Conegliano (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 25.02.2026Scandicci (W) — Novara (W)15:7
  • 25.02.2026Scandicci (W) — Novara (W)3:1
  • 18.02.2026Novara (W) — Scandicci (W)3:1
  • 17.01.2026Scandicci (W) — Novara (W)3:2
  • 02.11.2025Novara (W) — Scandicci (W)2:3

Full record: 9 meetings →

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →