Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Sunday, 18 October, (UTC+3)

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Bergamo (W)beta

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Model prediction for 18 October

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)47%
Bergamo (W)53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 47%, Bergamo (W) 53%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 184 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 48% to 52%.

Over 184.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 1494, Bergamo (W) 1538.

Facts

  • Bergamo (W): 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 2 wins, Bergamo (W) 3.

Probabilities

First set: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)48%
First set: Bergamo (W)52%
Points over 184.550%
Points under 184.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)

  • 10.10away · Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 04.10Novara (W)2:3
  • 12.04away · Macerata (W)3:2
  • 04.04Chieri '76 (W)3:0
  • 30.03Firenze (W)3:0

Bergamo (W)

  • 11.10away · Novara (W)3:2
  • 04.10Macerata (W)3:1
  • 08.04away · Consolini (W)3:2
  • 03.04Vallefoglia (W)3:2
  • 30.03Cuneo (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 23.12.2025Bergamo (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 15.10.2025UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Bergamo (W)3:2
  • 26.12.2024Bergamo (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 13.10.2024UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Bergamo (W)1:3
  • 10.03.2024Bergamo (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)1:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →