Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Saturday, 17 October, (UTC+3)

Vero Volley (W) — Novara (W)beta

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Model prediction for 17 October

Vero Volley (W)83%
Novara (W)17%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Vero Volley (W) are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 175 points in the match. First set: Vero Volley (W) — 71%.

Over 175.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Vero Volley (W) 1790, Novara (W) 1642; chance to win a single set: Vero Volley (W) 71%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Vero Volley (W) 0 wins, Novara (W) 5.

Probabilities

First set: Vero Volley (W)71%
First set: Novara (W)29%
Points over 175.549%
Points under 175.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Vero Volley (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Vero Volley (W)

  • 11.10away · Macerata (W)3:1
  • 03.10Firenze (W)3:0
  • 22.04Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 19.04away · Conegliano (W)3:1
  • 15.04Conegliano (W)0:3

Novara (W)

  • 11.10Bergamo (W)2:3
  • 04.10away · UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:2
  • 24.03away · Conegliano (W)1:3
  • 21.03Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 15.03away · Conegliano (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 08.02.2026Novara (W) — Vero Volley (W)3:2
  • 15.11.2025Vero Volley (W) — Novara (W)2:3
  • 05.01.2025Novara (W) — Vero Volley (W)3:2
  • 20.10.2024Vero Volley (W) — Novara (W)2:3
  • 10.02.2024Vero Volley (W) — Novara (W)2:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →