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LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Friday, 23 October, (UTC+3) · Domo de la Feria

Abejas — Soles

Model prediction and result

70:92Came true
Abejas15%
Soles85%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 70:92: the model's most likely outcome, Soles to win (85% incl. overtime), came true.

Soles are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 74:88 — 162 points in total.

Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Abejas −5.8, Soles +9.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Abejas 0 wins, Soles 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Abejas — Soles74.1–87.5
Total over 161.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 161.5 (incl. OT)50%

Form

Abejas

  • 20.10away · Soles60:100
  • 19.10away · Soles58:102
  • 16.10away · Santos94:84
  • 13.10Santos84:74
  • 12.10Santos82:106

Soles

  • 20.10Abejas100:60
  • 19.10Abejas102:58
  • 08.10Fuerza Regia75:92
  • 07.10Fuerza Regia88:86
  • 03.10Diablos Rojos86:43

Head to head

  • 20.10.2026Soles — Abejas100:60
  • 19.10.2026Soles — Abejas102:58
  • 13.08.2026Soles — Abejas87:80
  • 12.08.2026Soles — Abejas71:68
  • 19.09.2025Abejas — Soles86:118

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →