Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3) · El Fortín de las Morochas
Argentino — Quimsa
Model prediction and result
76:78Came true
In short
Final score 76:78: the model's most likely outcome, Quimsa to win (82% incl. overtime), came true.
Quimsa are clear favourites: 82% against 18% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 78:89 — 167 points in total.
Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Argentino −7.4, Quimsa +7.0 points in regulation.
Facts
- Quimsa: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Argentino 0 wins, Quimsa 5.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Argentino — Quimsa | 77.9–88.8 | |
| Total over 166.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 166.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
Form
- 22.10Boca Juniors84:82
- 13.10Gimnasia82:87
- 11.10San Martin82:79
- 01.10Ferro79:68
- 13.05Atenas88:77
- 11.10Boca Juniors105:96
- 06.10Atenas83:77
- 04.10Platense94:67
- 21.06away · Gimnasia56:68
- 18.06Gimnasia88:60
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Argentino — Quimsa75:95
- 29.09.2025Quimsa — Argentino99:71
- 24.04.2025Argentino — Quimsa67:99
- 30.10.2024Quimsa — Argentino100:75
- 27.04.2024Argentino — Quimsa72:74
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →