LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3) · Arena Astros
Astros — Mineros
Model prediction and result
100:78Came true
In short
Final score 100:78: the model's most likely outcome, Astros to win (72% incl. overtime), came true.
Astros are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 88:80 — 168 points in total.
Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Astros +5.2, Mineros −0.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- Astros: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Astros 3 wins, Mineros 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Astros — Mineros | 87.8–80.4 | |
| Total over 167.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 167.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
Form
- 08.10Gambusinos86:71
- 07.10Gambusinos96:89
- 04.10Fuerza Regia101:87
- 03.10Fuerza Regia74:77
- 28.09away · Diablos Rojos86:67
- 16.10away · Diablos Rojos98:78
- 13.10Diablos Rojos97:86
- 12.10Diablos Rojos92:98
- 08.10Santos82:93
- 07.10Santos96:75
Head to head
- 17.08.2026Mineros — Astros89:83
- 16.08.2026Mineros — Astros94:88
- 20.09.2025Mineros — Astros83:97
- 19.09.2025Mineros — Astros66:78
- 15.09.2024Mineros — Astros79:103
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →