LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Tuesday, 20 October, (UTC+3) · Arena Astros
Astros — Mineros
Model prediction and result
86:83Came true
In short
Final score 86:83: the model's most likely outcome, Astros to win (74% incl. overtime), came true.
Astros are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 88:80 — 169 points in total.
Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Astros +5.6, Mineros −1.0 point in regulation.
Facts
- Astros: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Astros 3 wins, Mineros 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Astros — Mineros | 88.5–80.2 | |
| Total over 168.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 168.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
Form
- 19.10Mineros100:78
- 08.10Gambusinos86:71
- 07.10Gambusinos96:89
- 04.10Fuerza Regia101:87
- 03.10Fuerza Regia74:77
- 19.10away · Astros78:100
- 16.10away · Diablos Rojos98:78
- 13.10Diablos Rojos97:86
- 12.10Diablos Rojos92:98
- 08.10Santos82:93
Head to head
- 19.10.2026Astros — Mineros100:78
- 17.08.2026Mineros — Astros89:83
- 16.08.2026Mineros — Astros94:88
- 20.09.2025Mineros — Astros83:97
- 19.09.2025Mineros — Astros66:78
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →