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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Atenas — Instituto de Cordoba

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Model prediction for 21 November

Atenas53%
Instituto de Cordoba47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Atenas 53%, Instituto de Cordoba 47%.

The model expects a score around 77:76 — 153 points in total.

Over 152.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Atenas −2.4, Instituto de Cordoba +0.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Atenas — No. 4, 4–2; Instituto de Cordoba — No. 5, 4–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Atenas 0 wins, Instituto de Cordoba 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Atenas — Instituto de Cordoba77.2–76.3
Total over 152.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 152.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Atenas points
  • Instituto de Cordoba points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Atenas

  • 04.11Gimnasia76:79
  • 02.11Racing de Chivilcoy95:94
  • 24.10Lanus80:69
  • 13.10Ferro91:86
  • 08.10away · Olimpico91:87

Instituto de Cordoba

  • 04.11Racing de Chivilcoy75:71
  • 02.11Gimnasia57:58
  • 22.10Lanus75:73
  • 10.10Ferro97:94
  • 03.10away · Regatas63:73

Head to head

  • 28.03.2026Atenas — Instituto de Cordoba73:85
  • 27.12.2025Instituto de Cordoba — Atenas68:57
  • 21.03.2025Instituto de Cordoba — Atenas84:73
  • 22.10.2024Atenas — Instituto de Cordoba74:87
  • 19.04.2023Instituto de Cordoba — Atenas90:70

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsGimnasia972.7780.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAtenas642.6672
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsInstituto de Cordoba642.6672
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union422.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →