Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3) · Polideportivo Carlos Cerutti
Atenas — Lanus
Model prediction and result
80:69Came true
In short
Final score 80:69: the model's most likely outcome, Atenas to win (74% incl. overtime), came true.
Atenas are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:79 — 165 points in total.
Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Atenas −2.2, Lanus −6.1 points in regulation.
Facts
- Lanus: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Atenas — Lanus | 86.2–78.6 | |
| Total over 164.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 164.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
Form
- 13.10Ferro91:86
- 08.10away · Olimpico91:87
- 06.10away · Quimsa77:83
- 13.05away · Argentino77:88
- 10.05away · Argentino53:61
- 22.10away · Instituto de Cordoba73:75
- 20.10away · Independiente de Oliva93:108
- 15.10Penarol77:84
- 10.10Obera TC67:58
- 29.09Gimnasia74:92
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →