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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Atenas — San Lorenzo

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Model prediction for 13 November

Atenas68%
San Lorenzo32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Atenas are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 84:79 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Atenas −2.4, San Lorenzo −4.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Atenas — No. 4, 4–2; San Lorenzo — No. 16, 1–3.
  • San Lorenzo: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Atenas 1 win, San Lorenzo 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Atenas — San Lorenzo84.4–78.7
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Atenas points
  • San Lorenzo points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Atenas

  • 04.11Gimnasia76:79
  • 02.11Racing de Chivilcoy95:94
  • 24.10Lanus80:69
  • 13.10Ferro91:86
  • 08.10away · Olimpico91:87

San Lorenzo

  • 29.10Platense58:80
  • 18.10Obera TC73:78
  • 17.10Penarol85:92
  • 09.10Gimnasia89:73
  • 18.04away · Obras Sanitarias70:76

Head to head

  • 06.02.2026San Lorenzo — Atenas76:67
  • 21.10.2025Atenas — San Lorenzo85:92
  • 05.02.2025San Lorenzo — Atenas94:88
  • 10.11.2024Atenas — San Lorenzo84:61
  • 17.05.2023San Lorenzo — Atenas73:62

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsGimnasia972.7780.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAtenas642.6672
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsInstituto de Cordoba642.6672
15Regatas413.2504
16San Lorenzo413.2504
17, Relegation play-offObera TC514.2004.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →