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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Bauru — Minas

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Model prediction for 6 November

Bauru47%
Minas53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Bauru 47%, Minas 53%.

The model expects a score around 84:85 — 169 points in total.

Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Bauru +1.0, Minas +5.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Bauru 1 win, Minas 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Bauru — Minas84.2–85.2
Total over 168.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 168.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Bauru points
  • Minas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Bauru

  • 30.04away · Paulistano62:71
  • 27.04Paulistano88:75
  • 25.04Paulistano80:95
  • 22.04away · Paulistano77:80
  • 18.04away · Brasilia65:94

Minas

  • 13.05Corinthians Paulista81:92
  • 10.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:103
  • 08.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:91
  • 05.05Corinthians Paulista90:100
  • 02.05away · Sada Cruzeiro1:3

Head to head

  • 11.02.2026Bauru — Minas105:90
  • 23.11.2025Minas — Bauru94:88
  • 29.05.2025Minas — Bauru70:65
  • 27.05.2025Minas — Bauru73:69
  • 24.05.2025Bauru — Minas59:74

Full record: 17 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • FrancaCruzeiropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.9
  • OsascoSao Josepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —166.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →