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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Bauru — Uniao Corinthians

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Model prediction for 23 November

Bauru68%
Uniao Corinthians32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bauru are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 80:74 — 155 points in total.

Over 154.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Bauru −0.1, Uniao Corinthians −2.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Bauru — No. 11, 2–3; Uniao Corinthians — No. 9, 2–3.
  • Bauru: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bauru 3 wins, Uniao Corinthians 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Bauru — Uniao Corinthians80.3–74.5
Total over 154.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 154.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Bauru points
  • Uniao Corinthians points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Bauru

  • 04.11Cruzeiro74:78
  • 31.10away · Paulistano75:83
  • 24.10Mogi61:79
  • 22.10Sao Jose83:68
  • 18.10away · Flamengo82:81

Uniao Corinthians

  • 01.11away · Flamengo65:83
  • 31.10away · Botafogo87:80
  • 28.10away · Pinheiros63:75
  • 23.10Minas71:88
  • 20.10Cruzeiro83:74

Head to head

  • 22.01.2026Uniao Corinthians — Bauru103:99 OT
  • 29.10.2025Bauru — Uniao Corinthians60:52
  • 05.04.2025Bauru — Uniao Corinthians89:69
  • 06.12.2024Uniao Corinthians — Bauru83:77
  • 08.03.2024Uniao Corinthians — Bauru89:97 OT

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, PlayoffsCruzeiro532.6002
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003
10, PlayoffsFranca523.4003
11, PlayoffsBauru523.4003
12, PlayoffsBotafogo523.4003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →