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EuroLeague (basketball) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Besiktas — Real Madrid

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Model prediction for 18 November

Besiktas31%
Real Madrid69%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Real Madrid are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:96 — 186 points in total.

Over 185.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Besiktas −4.3, Real Madrid +5.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Besiktas — No. 13, 4–5; Real Madrid — No. 8, 6–3.
  • Real Madrid: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Besiktas — Real Madrid90.0–95.9
Total over 185.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 185.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Besiktas points
  • Real Madrid points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Besiktas

  • 30.10away · Virtus Bologna103:101
  • 28.10Olympiacos73:81
  • 22.10away · Anadolu Efes80:89
  • 16.10Bayern95:87
  • 14.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv82:100

Real Madrid

  • 01.11San Pablo Burgos90:79
  • 29.10Fenerbahce95:76
  • 27.10away · Baskonia104:86
  • 25.10away · Forca Lleida122:86
  • 22.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv113:99

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet963.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFenerbahce963.6671
12Lyon-Villeurbanne945.4443
13Besiktas945.4443
14Partizan Mozzart Bet945.4443

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →