EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 6 November, 20:00 (UTC+3)

Besiktas — Zalgiris Kaunas

Model prediction for 6 November

Besiktas50%

Zalgiris Kaunas50%

Model estimate at 06:37 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Besiktas 50%, Zalgiris Kaunas 50%.

The model expects a score around 88:88 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Besiktas −3.9, Zalgiris Kaunas −0.5 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Besiktas — No. 11, 3–3; Zalgiris Kaunas — No. 16, 2–4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Besiktas — Zalgiris Kaunas		88.4–88.5
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)		49%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)		51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Besiktas points
Zalgiris Kaunas points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Besiktas

16.10Bayern95:87
14.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv82:100
09.10away · Baskonia92:84
02.10Barcelona82:95
30.09away · Maccabi Tel Aviv109:93

Zalgiris Kaunas

16.10Anadolu Efes70:85
13.10away · Fenerbahce80:99
09.10away · Barcelona88:81
01.10away · Paris78:82
29.09Olympiacos91:93

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Barcelona	6	3	3	.500	2
11	Besiktas	6	3	3	.500	2
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	6	3	3	.500	2
15	Anadolu Efes	6	2	4	.333	3
16	Zalgiris Kaunas	6	2	4	.333	3
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	6	2	4	.333	3

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

22:15
OlympiacosCrvena Zvezda Meridianbetpreliminary
7921
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.0
22:30
Virtus BolognaDubaipreliminary
5743
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.4
22:45
Partizan Mozzart BetMaccabi Tel Avivpreliminary
6634
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →