Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Ferro — Penarol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Ferro 50%, Penarol 50%.
The model expects a score around 82:82 — 164 points in total.
Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Ferro −0.2, Penarol +3.5 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Ferro — No. 14, 2–4; Penarol — No. 2, 5–1.
- Last 5 meetings: Ferro 3 wins, Penarol 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Ferro — Penarol | 82.0–82.0 | |
| Total over 163.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 163.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Ferro points
- Penarol points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 29.10away · Gimnasia61:73
- 21.10Platense86:81
- 13.10away · Atenas86:91
- 10.10away · Instituto de Cordoba94:97
- 09.10away · Independiente de Oliva97:92
- 03.11away · Olimpico87:74
- 31.10away · Quimsa73:78
- 28.10San Martin95:76
- 17.10away · San Lorenzo92:85
- 15.10away · Lanus84:77
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Penarol — Ferro68:84
- 01.05.2026Penarol — Ferro87:75
- 27.04.2026Ferro — Penarol80:78
- 25.04.2026Ferro — Penarol97:91
- 20.04.2026Penarol — Ferro87:80
Table
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →