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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Flamengo — Franca

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Model prediction for 11 November

Flamengo55%
Franca45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Flamengo are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 81:79 — 160 points in total.

Over 159.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Flamengo +6.3, Franca +8.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Flamengo — No. 4, 3–1; Franca — No. 10, 2–3.
  • Flamengo: 3 wins in a row; Franca: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Flamengo 3 wins, Franca 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Flamengo 10, Franca 7.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Flamengo — Franca80.8–79.4
Total over 159.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 159.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Flamengo points
  • Franca points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Flamengo

  • 01.11Uniao Corinthians83:65
  • 31.10Caxias do Sul77:59
  • 21.10Botafogo81:71
  • 18.10Bauru81:82
  • 16.05away · Brasilia69:72

Franca

  • 04.11Minas76:87
  • 29.10away · Paulistano62:65
  • 27.10away · Corinthians Paulista48:78
  • 22.10Mogi90:74
  • 20.10Sao Jose90:59

Head to head

  • 20.02.2026Flamengo — Franca91:89
  • 13.11.2025Franca — Flamengo72:86
  • 04.06.2025Flamengo — Franca95:98 OT
  • 01.06.2025Franca — Flamengo102:86
  • 30.05.2025Flamengo — Franca86:75

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, PlayoffsMogi431.7501.5
4, PlayoffsFlamengo431.7501.5
5, PlayoffsPaulistano431.7501.5
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003
10, PlayoffsFranca523.4003
11, PlayoffsBauru523.4003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →