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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Franca — Caxias do Sul

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Model prediction for 19 November

Franca92%
Caxias do Sul8%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Franca are clear favourites: 92% against 8% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 81:63 — 144 points in total.

Over 144.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Franca +8.0, Caxias do Sul −6.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Franca — No. 10, 2–3; Caxias do Sul — No. 17, 0–5.
  • Franca: 3 defeats in a row; Caxias do Sul: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Franca 4 wins, Caxias do Sul 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Franca — Caxias do Sul81.2–63.3
Total over 144.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 144.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Franca points
  • Caxias do Sul points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Franca

  • 04.11Minas76:87
  • 29.10away · Paulistano62:65
  • 27.10away · Corinthians Paulista48:78
  • 22.10Mogi90:74
  • 20.10Sao Jose90:59

Caxias do Sul

  • 02.11away · Pinheiros53:91
  • 31.10away · Flamengo59:77
  • 29.10away · Botafogo82:84
  • 21.10Minas66:78
  • 18.10Cruzeiro61:72

Head to head

  • 22.01.2026Caxias do Sul — Franca66:93
  • 29.10.2025Franca — Caxias do Sul73:75
  • 01.04.2025Franca — Caxias do Sul117:57
  • 06.12.2024Caxias do Sul — Franca76:82
  • 28.03.2024Caxias do Sul — Franca79:89

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003
10, PlayoffsFranca523.4003
11, PlayoffsBauru523.4003
16, PlayoffsPato413.2503.5
17Caxias do Sul505.0005
18, RelegationCearense303.0004

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 92% will not happen in roughly 8 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →