LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3) · Gimnasio Nuevo Leon Independiente
Fuerza Regia — Dorados
Model prediction and result
101:90Came true
In short
Final score 101:90: the model's most likely outcome, Fuerza Regia to win (66% incl. overtime), came true.
Fuerza Regia are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 90:85 — 175 points in total.
Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Fuerza Regia +3.6, Dorados −0.3 points in regulation.
Facts
- Dorados: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Fuerza Regia 2 wins, Dorados 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Fuerza Regia — Dorados | 90.2–84.8 | |
| Total over 174.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 174.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
Form
- 08.10away · Soles92:75
- 07.10away · Soles86:88
- 04.10away · Astros87:101
- 03.10away · Astros77:74
- 27.09El Calor de Cancun95:89
- 13.10Gambusinos88:87
- 12.10Gambusinos98:83
- 08.10away · Freseros105:77
- 07.10away · Freseros105:85
- 03.10away · Panteras85:81
Head to head
- 07.08.2026Fuerza Regia — Dorados86:92
- 06.08.2026Fuerza Regia — Dorados67:96
- 25.07.2025Fuerza Regia — Dorados86:87
- 24.07.2025Fuerza Regia — Dorados76:68
- 28.07.2024Fuerza Regia — Dorados88:67
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →