LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Tuesday, 20 October, (UTC+3) · Gimnasio Nuevo Leon Independiente
Fuerza Regia — Dorados
Model prediction and result
80:76Came true
In short
Final score 80:76: the model's most likely outcome, Fuerza Regia to win (68% incl. overtime), came true.
Fuerza Regia are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 91:85 — 176 points in total.
Over 175.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Fuerza Regia +3.8, Dorados −0.5 points in regulation.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Fuerza Regia 2 wins, Dorados 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Fuerza Regia — Dorados | 90.9–85.0 | |
| Total over 175.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 175.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
Form
- 19.10Dorados101:90
- 08.10away · Soles92:75
- 07.10away · Soles86:88
- 04.10away · Astros87:101
- 03.10away · Astros77:74
- 19.10away · Fuerza Regia90:101
- 13.10Gambusinos88:87
- 12.10Gambusinos98:83
- 08.10away · Freseros105:77
- 07.10away · Freseros105:85
Head to head
- 19.10.2026Fuerza Regia — Dorados101:90
- 07.08.2026Fuerza Regia — Dorados86:92
- 06.08.2026Fuerza Regia — Dorados67:96
- 25.07.2025Fuerza Regia — Dorados86:87
- 24.07.2025Fuerza Regia — Dorados76:68
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →