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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Gimnasia — Boca Juniors

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Model prediction for 23 November

Gimnasia64%
Boca Juniors36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gimnasia are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 83:79 — 162 points in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Gimnasia +3.9, Boca Juniors +3.4 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Gimnasia — No. 3, 7–2; Boca Juniors — No. 11, 3–3.
  • Gimnasia: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Gimnasia 2 wins, Boca Juniors 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Gimnasia — Boca Juniors82.9–78.7
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Gimnasia points
  • Boca Juniors points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Gimnasia

  • 04.11away · Atenas79:76
  • 02.11away · Instituto de Cordoba58:57
  • 29.10Ferro73:61
  • 13.10away · Argentino87:82
  • 11.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy78:72

Boca Juniors

  • 29.10Regatas95:83
  • 24.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy80:72
  • 22.10away · Argentino82:84
  • 13.10away · Olimpico80:93
  • 11.10away · Quimsa96:105

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Boca Juniors — Gimnasia71:74
  • 05.11.2025Gimnasia — Boca Juniors70:82
  • 24.04.2025Boca Juniors — Gimnasia73:62
  • 14.11.2024Gimnasia — Boca Juniors67:83
  • 17.05.2024Gimnasia — Boca Juniors90:85

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPenarol651.8331
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsGimnasia972.7780.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAtenas642.6672
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOlimpico633.5003
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBoca Juniors633.5003
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLanus835.3754

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →