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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Independiente de Oliva — Gimnasia

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Model prediction for 6 November

Independiente de Oliva51%
Gimnasia49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Independiente de Oliva 51%, Gimnasia 49%.

The model expects a score around 85:85 — 170 points in total.

Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Independiente de Oliva +0.2, Gimnasia +3.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Independiente de Oliva — No. 16, 0–1; Gimnasia — No. 5, 4–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Independiente de Oliva 2 wins, Gimnasia 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Independiente de Oliva — Gimnasia85.0–84.6
Total over 168.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 168.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Independiente de Oliva points
  • Gimnasia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Independiente de Oliva

  • 09.10Ferro92:97
  • 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
  • 16.05Gimnasia74:66
  • 14.05Gimnasia78:76
  • 11.05away · Gimnasia72:77

Gimnasia

  • 13.10away · Argentino87:82
  • 11.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy78:72
  • 09.10away · San Lorenzo73:89
  • 05.10La Union92:86
  • 01.10away · Penarol57:62

Head to head

  • 19.05.2026Gimnasia — Independiente de Oliva81:71
  • 16.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — Gimnasia74:66
  • 14.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — Gimnasia78:76
  • 11.05.2026Gimnasia — Independiente de Oliva77:72
  • 09.05.2026Gimnasia — Independiente de Oliva78:66

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRacing de Chivilcoy431.7500.5
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGimnasia642.6670.5
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAtenas321.6671
15Ferro413.2502.5
16Independiente de Oliva101.0002
17, Relegation play-offSan Martin303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • Obera TCArgentinopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →