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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets

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Model prediction for 8 November

Indiana Pacers37%
Denver Nuggets63%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Denver Nuggets are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 114:118 — 232 points in total.

Over 231.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Indiana Pacers without Tyrese Haliburton: that costs the team about 8.5 points a game.
  • Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Indiana Pacers — No. 23, 2–6; Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3.
  • Indiana Pacers: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Indiana Pacers 1 win, Denver Nuggets 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets113.6–118.0
Total over 231.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 231.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Indiana Pacers

  • 03.11Atlanta Hawks104:108
  • 02.11Brooklyn Nets90:98
  • 31.10away · Miami Heat125:145
  • 29.10Philadelphia 76ers109:114
  • 27.10away · Milwaukee Bucks102:110

Denver Nuggets

  • 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
  • 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
  • 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
  • 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
  • 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135

Head to head

  • 04.12.2025Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets120:135
  • 09.11.2025Denver Nuggets — Indiana Pacers117:100
  • 07.04.2025Denver Nuggets — Indiana Pacers120:125
  • 25.02.2025Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets116:125
  • 24.01.2024Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets109:114

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
11Orlando Magic725.2864.5
12Indiana Pacers826.2505
13Chicago Bulls716.1435.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDallas Mavericks743.5712.5
10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDenver Nuggets633.5003
11New Orleans Pelicans734.4293.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →