Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Denver Nuggets are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 114:118 — 232 points in total.
Over 231.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Indiana Pacers without Tyrese Haliburton: that costs the team about 8.5 points a game.
- Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
Facts
- League table: Indiana Pacers — No. 23, 2–6; Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3.
- Indiana Pacers: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Indiana Pacers 1 win, Denver Nuggets 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets | 113.6–118.0 | |
| Total over 231.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 231.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Indiana Pacers points
- Denver Nuggets points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11Atlanta Hawks104:108
- 02.11Brooklyn Nets90:98
- 31.10away · Miami Heat125:145
- 29.10Philadelphia 76ers109:114
- 27.10away · Milwaukee Bucks102:110
- 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
- 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
- 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
- 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
- 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135
Head to head
- 04.12.2025Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets120:135
- 09.11.2025Denver Nuggets — Indiana Pacers117:100
- 07.04.2025Denver Nuggets — Indiana Pacers120:125
- 25.02.2025Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets116:125
- 24.01.2024Indiana Pacers — Denver Nuggets109:114
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Orlando Magic | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
| 12 | Indiana Pacers | 2 | 6 | .250 | 5 |
| 13 | Chicago Bulls | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
NBA on the same day
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.7
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —223.6
- 73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.8
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.8
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.2
- 50501The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.3
- 33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —234.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →