NBA (National Basketball Association) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Memphis Grizzlies — Golden State Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Memphis Grizzlies 53%, Golden State Warriors 47%.
The model expects a score around 117:116 — 233 points in total.
Over 232.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 9.2 points a game.
- Memphis Grizzlies play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Facts
- League table: Memphis Grizzlies — No. 4, 6–1; Golden State Warriors — No. 10, 5–3.
- Golden State Warriors: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Memphis Grizzlies 1 win, Golden State Warriors 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Memphis Grizzlies — Golden State Warriors | 117.2–116.1 | |
| Total over 232.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 232.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Memphis Grizzlies points
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Form
- 03.11New Orleans Pelicans134:135
- 01.11Sacramento Kings136:105
- 30.10away · Portland Trail Blazers124:103
- 27.10away · Utah Jazz110:105
- 26.10away · Sacramento Kings123:112
- 03.11Phoenix Suns116:113
- 02.11Los Angeles Clippers124:112
- 31.10Los Angeles Lakers112:95
- 29.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves119:114
- 27.10away · Denver Nuggets134:114
Head to head
- 24.10.2026Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies108:111
- 26.02.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Golden State Warriors112:133
- 10.02.2026Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies114:113
- 28.10.2025Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies131:118
- 16.04.2025Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies121:116
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Houston Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Memphis Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Golden State Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
NBA on the same day
- Milwaukee BucksPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary20802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.5
- Minnesota TimberwolvesNew York Knickspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —219.6
- San Antonio SpursLos Angeles Clipperspreliminary81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —221.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →