Memphis Grizzlies — Oklahoma City Thunder
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Memphis Grizzlies 49%, Oklahoma City Thunder 51%.
The model expects a score around 113:113 — 225 points in total.
Over 225.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Oklahoma City Thunder without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace: that costs the team about 9.7 points a game.
- Pace: Memphis Grizzlies 104.3, Oklahoma City Thunder 99.8 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Memphis Grizzlies — No. 4, 6–1; Oklahoma City Thunder — No. 7, 5–2.
- Last 5 meetings: Memphis Grizzlies 0 wins, Oklahoma City Thunder 5.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Memphis Grizzlies — Oklahoma City Thunder | 112.6–112.8 | |
| Total over 225.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 225.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Memphis Grizzlies points
- Oklahoma City Thunder points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11New Orleans Pelicans134:135
- 01.11Sacramento Kings136:105
- 30.10away · Portland Trail Blazers124:103
- 27.10away · Utah Jazz110:105
- 26.10away · Sacramento Kings123:112
- 03.11away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:112
- 01.11away · Houston Rockets98:119
- 29.10away · Dallas Mavericks96:120
- 27.10Phoenix Suns125:114
- 26.10Los Angeles Clippers108:101
Head to head
- 10.01.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Oklahoma City Thunder116:117
- 23.12.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Memphis Grizzlies119:103
- 10.11.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Oklahoma City Thunder100:114
- 26.04.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Oklahoma City Thunder115:117
- 25.04.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Oklahoma City Thunder108:114
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Houston Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Memphis Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Los Angeles Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
NBA on the same day
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.8
- 28722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —207.5
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.0
- 75251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.4
- 29712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.0
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —229.9
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —232.4
- 16842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —229.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →