NBA (National Basketball Association) · Friday, 23 October, (UTC+3) · Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee Bucks — Chicago Bulls
Model prediction and result
125:132Missed
In short
Final score 125:132: the model's most likely outcome, Milwaukee Bucks to win (57% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 57% fails in about 43 matches out of 100 on average.
Milwaukee Bucks are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.
The model expects a score around 118:116 — 235 points in total.
Over 234.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Chicago Bulls without Nic Claxton: that costs the team about 2.3 points a game.
- Pace: Milwaukee Bucks 100.0, Chicago Bulls 108.2 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- Chicago Bulls: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Milwaukee Bucks 3 wins, Chicago Bulls 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Milwaukee Bucks — Chicago Bulls | 118.4–116.1 | |
| Total over 234.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 234.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
Form
- 22.10away · Washington Wizards116:128
- 13.04away · Philadelphia 76ers106:126
- 11.04Brooklyn Nets125:108
- 09.04away · Detroit Pistons111:137
- 08.04away · Brooklyn Nets90:96
- 22.10away · Toronto Raptors92:135
- 13.04away · Dallas Mavericks128:149
- 11.04Orlando Magic103:127
- 10.04away · Washington Wizards119:108
- 08.04away · Washington Wizards129:98
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Chicago Bulls — Milwaukee Bucks120:97
- 04.02.2026Milwaukee Bucks — Chicago Bulls131:115
- 28.12.2025Chicago Bulls — Milwaukee Bucks103:112
- 08.11.2025Milwaukee Bucks — Chicago Bulls126:110
- 29.12.2024Chicago Bulls — Milwaukee Bucks116:111
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →