Minas — Unifacisa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minas are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:77 — 164 points in total.
Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Minas +10.6, Unifacisa +4.9 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Minas — No. 1, 5–0; Unifacisa — No. 6, 3–1.
- Minas: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Minas 3 wins, Unifacisa 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Minas 8, Unifacisa 14.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Minas — Unifacisa | 86.3–77.4 | |
| Total over 163.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 163.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
230 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Minas points
- Unifacisa points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 29.10away · Sao Jose97:83
- 27.10away · Mogi70:78
- 20.10Pinheiros81:65
- 18.10Osasco96:70
- 30.04away · Corinthians Paulista71:81
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Minas — Unifacisa77:80
- 30.12.2025Unifacisa — Minas102:107 OT
- 04.03.2025Unifacisa — Minas77:79
- 12.11.2024Minas — Unifacisa78:76
- 23.03.2024Unifacisa — Minas98:96
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Minas | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Pinheiros | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs | Paulistano | 3 | 1 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs | Unifacisa | 3 | 1 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 7, Playoffs | Brasilia | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →