LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Friday, 23 October, (UTC+3) · Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez
Mineros — Astros
Model prediction and result
72:81Came true
In short
Final score 72:81: the model's most likely outcome, Astros to win (64% incl. overtime), came true.
Astros are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 82:87 — 169 points in total.
Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Mineros −0.9, Astros +5.5 points in regulation.
Facts
- Astros: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Mineros 2 wins, Astros 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Mineros — Astros | 82.2–86.9 | |
| Total over 168.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 168.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
Form
- 20.10away · Astros83:86
- 19.10away · Astros78:100
- 16.10away · Diablos Rojos98:78
- 13.10Diablos Rojos97:86
- 12.10Diablos Rojos92:98
- 20.10Mineros86:83
- 19.10Mineros100:78
- 08.10Gambusinos86:71
- 07.10Gambusinos96:89
- 04.10Fuerza Regia101:87
Head to head
- 20.10.2026Astros — Mineros86:83
- 19.10.2026Astros — Mineros100:78
- 17.08.2026Mineros — Astros89:83
- 16.08.2026Mineros — Astros94:88
- 20.09.2025Mineros — Astros83:97
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →