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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Minnesota Timberwolves — Dallas Mavericks

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Model prediction for 13 November

Minnesota Timberwolves63%
Dallas Mavericks37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minnesota Timberwolves are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 114:110 — 224 points in total.

Over 224.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Minnesota Timberwolves without Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo: that costs the team about 4.2 points a game.
  • Dallas Mavericks without Max Christie: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Minnesota Timberwolves — No. 11, 5–3; Dallas Mavericks — No. 14, 4–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Minnesota Timberwolves 5 wins, Dallas Mavericks 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Minnesota Timberwolves — Dallas Mavericks114.4–109.9
Total over 224.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 224.5 (incl. OT)51%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Minnesota Timberwolves points
  • Dallas Mavericks points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • 03.11Milwaukee Bucks112:100
  • 01.11away · San Antonio Spurs111:121
  • 31.10Los Angeles Clippers127:101
  • 29.10Golden State Warriors114:119
  • 27.10away · Cleveland Cavaliers125:127

Dallas Mavericks

  • 03.11Sacramento Kings100:115
  • 31.10Houston Rockets116:111
  • 29.10Oklahoma City Thunder120:96
  • 27.10away · Miami Heat113:109
  • 25.10San Antonio Spurs106:122

Head to head

  • 31.03.2026Dallas Mavericks — Minnesota Timberwolves94:124
  • 21.02.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — Dallas Mavericks122:111
  • 29.01.2026Dallas Mavericks — Minnesota Timberwolves105:118
  • 18.11.2025Minnesota Timberwolves — Dallas Mavericks120:96
  • 23.01.2025Dallas Mavericks — Minnesota Timberwolves114:115

Full record: 29 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceGolden State Warriors853.6252
8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceMinnesota Timberwolves853.6252
9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDallas Mavericks743.5712.5
10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDenver Nuggets633.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →