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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva

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Model prediction for 19 November

Obera TC55%
Independiente de Oliva45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Obera TC are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 87:86 — 172 points in total.

Over 171.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Obera TC −1.6, Independiente de Oliva +0.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Obera TC — No. 17, 1–4; Independiente de Oliva — No. 8, 1–1.
  • Last 5 meetings: Obera TC 5 wins, Independiente de Oliva 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva86.9–85.5
Total over 171.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 171.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Obera TC points
  • Independiente de Oliva points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Obera TC

  • 18.10away · San Lorenzo78:73
  • 17.10away · Platense80:86
  • 14.10Racing de Chivilcoy78:84
  • 10.10away · Lanus58:67
  • 08.10away · Boca Juniors73:96

Independiente de Oliva

  • 20.10Lanus108:93
  • 09.10Ferro92:97
  • 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
  • 16.05Gimnasia74:66
  • 14.05Gimnasia78:76

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva104:96 OT
  • 01.11.2025Independiente de Oliva — Obera TC83:84
  • 16.05.2025Independiente de Oliva — Obera TC84:93
  • 12.11.2024Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva83:81
  • 22.03.2024Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva85:77

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense633.5003
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIndependiente de Oliva211.5003
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino633.5003
16San Lorenzo413.2504
17, Relegation play-offObera TC514.2004.5
18, Relegation play-offSan Martin606.0006

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →