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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Olimpico — Ferro

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Model prediction for 20 November

Olimpico61%
Ferro39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Olimpico are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 85:82 — 168 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Olimpico −0.5, Ferro −0.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Olimpico — No. 10, 3–3; Ferro — No. 14, 2–4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Olimpico 2 wins, Ferro 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpico — Ferro85.5–82.2
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Olimpico points
  • Ferro points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Olimpico

  • 03.11Penarol74:87
  • 21.10away · San Martin106:86
  • 19.10away · Regatas83:80
  • 13.10Boca Juniors93:80
  • 08.10Atenas87:91

Ferro

  • 29.10away · Gimnasia61:73
  • 21.10Platense86:81
  • 13.10away · Atenas86:91
  • 10.10away · Instituto de Cordoba94:97
  • 09.10away · Independiente de Oliva97:92

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Olimpico — Ferro69:72
  • 13.12.2025Ferro — Olimpico87:83
  • 30.04.2025Ferro — Olimpico81:69
  • 10.12.2024Olimpico — Ferro92:67
  • 02.03.2024Ferro — Olimpico93:94

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino633.5003
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOlimpico633.5003
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBoca Juniors633.5003
13Racing de Chivilcoy835.3754
14Ferro624.3334
15Regatas413.2504

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →